1 Chris
Johnson TEN (BYE: 9)
Remember when there were concerns about LenDale White
stealing goal line carries? That sure seems like a distant memory now. A 5.6 yd/carry average and 2006 total
rushing yards pretty much says it all – CJ2K was the best fantasy back to play
in 2009. Johnson displayed exactly the
type of consistency owners love to see reeling off an amazing streak of 11
straight games with 100+ rushing yards.
He led the league with 358 carries, so the Titans may try to lessen his
workload, but it still has a chance to be in the 300-325 range. Of course, you shouldn’t expect another
2000-yard season, but he’s as solid as they come.
2 Adrian
Peterson MIN (BYE: 4)
Another year and another 1300 + rushing yards and
double-digit touchdowns delivered by Adrian Peterson. He scored a career-high 18 TDs and managed to increase his
reception total from 21 to 43 - a trend the Vikings will attempt to improve
this year. Although completely
respectable, his yard per carry average has dropped every year (5.6, 4.8, 4.4),
while his fumblitis is still troublesome.
However, he’s one of the most elite fantasy players for the past three
years and he will make it four straight in 2010.
3 Maurice
Jones-Drew JAC (BYE: 9)
MJD exploded in his first year as a fulltime back racking up
1391 rushing yards on 312 attempts. He
scored 16 total touchdowns (should have been 17 if he didn’t purposely kneel at
the goal line in week 10 against the Jets) and he only fumbled twice as opposed
to 6 drops in 2008. He’s small, only
5’7, and the Jags aren’t necessarily an offensive juggernaut, but he did just
fine under the same circumstances last year.
4 Ray Rice
BAL (BYE: 8)
Ray Rice’s powerful two-pronged attack made PPR owners
extremely happy last season. Not only
did he rush for 1300 + yards at a 5.3 per carry clip; he chipped in with 78
receptions – 1st among all running backs. A more-experienced Joe Flacco and the newly acquired Anquan
Boldin will help spread out defensive attention, so Rice’s top-5 fantasy status
seems to be legitimate.
5 Michael
Turner ATL (BYE: 8)
A year after rushing for 1699 yards and 17 touchdowns,
Turner only managed to play in 10 full games last year. The results? Actually pretty good. He
found the end zone 10 times and totaled 871 yards at a 4.9 rate. The Falcons will certainly limit his
touches, so 300+ carries is a thing of the past. But that might just be exactly what is needed to keep him on the
field for an entire season.
6 Frank Gore
SF (BYE: 9)
Gore scored a career-high 10 touchdowns in 2009 despite
carrying the ball 229 times – the lowest mark since his 2005 rookie year. He’s been consistently valuable in PPR
leagues averaging 52 receptions over the past 4 years. The addition of Brian Westbrook raises some
eyebrows, but this is still definitely Gore’s gig as the RB1. Considering both players’ injury histories,
it wouldn’t be a bad idea to acquire Westbrook as a handcuff.
7 Steven
Jackson STL (BYE: 9)
Jackson played in 15 games, the most since 2006, and toted
the ball 324 times for 1416 yards. For
all of that spectacular effort he scored only 4 measly touchdowns, the lowest
of his career. He definitely has the
makeup of a top-10 pick, but there is a significant risk since he plays on the
lowly Rams. The talent is undeniable,
but so is the spotty injury history and poor supporting cast.
8 Ryan Mathews
SD (BYE: 10)
Ryan Mathews is getting a lot of love in fantasy
drafts. After experiencing 2 years of a
declining L.T., the Chargers went young and selected Mathews out of Fresno St.
with the 12th overall pick.
San Diego won’t waste any time and they are expected to throw him into
the fire right away while using Sproles as a change of pace. It takes some guts to draft a rookie among
the top-10 fantasy RBs, but that’s where he’ll be selected.
9 Shonn Greene
NYJ (BYE: 7)
We might be asking a little too much from a 2nd
year player to be among the top-10 fantasy backs, but he’s got the tools around
him to succeed. Mainly, he gets to run
behind the best offensive line in the NFL – the same line that helped
generate1440 yards and 14 TDs for Thomas Jones last year. Greene played second-fiddle to Jones for
most of the year, but he excelled once he finally got a chance to see the
field. Every time he received 19 or
more carries, he broke the 100-yard mark and scored a touchdown. Sure, it’s risky, but sometimes you have to
take a chance.
10 Rashard
Mendenhall PIT (BYE: 5)
Mendenhall will enter the 2010 season as the unquestioned
starter for the Steelers. Despite being
benched in week 3, he finished the season with 1108 rushing yards and scored a
combined 8 touchdowns. Much like Frank
Gore, his totals were helped by some big games - all versus the AFC West (165
yds. vs. SD, 155 yds. vs. DEN, and 103 yds. vs. OAK). It will be a tall order against his own division this year, but
he’s got the keys to the car all to himself.