1 Hanley Ramirez - FLA
Ramirez’s
2008 performance certainly earned him Fantasy MVP honors. His stat line of .301-33 HRs-35 SBs makes
him the favorite for the number one overall pick in 2009. Hitting leadoff did cause his RBI total to
drop from 81 to 67, but he countered with career-highs in walks (92) and OBP
(.400). If Cameron Maybin evolves into
a leadoff hitter, Ramirez can slide to the third spot in the order. The move will cause the RBI total to
rebound, but you may see less steal attempts and runs scored (125 runs in ’07
and ’08).
2 Jose Reyes - NYM
Last
year, Reyes produced 190+ hits and stole 50+ bases for the fourth consecutive
season. Batting leadoff has allowed him
to average 678 ABs since 2005, giving him plenty of chances to pad the stats. Reyes has a little bit of power; so 10-15
HRs are well within reach. He’s a
fantasy star in all formats, but his value really shines in leagues that count
runs and hits.
3 Jimmy Rollins - PHI
A lingering ankle injury limited Rollins to 150 games in
2008. The power numbers decreased, but
he held his own in stolen bases (47).
Rollins is remarkably efficient on the base paths, posting steal rates
of 94%, 87 %, 90%, and 87% over the past four years. You might not see 30 HRs again, but 40+ SBs and 15-20 long balls
would be just fine with any owner.
4 Derek Jeter - NYY
Although Jeter is a dependable option, there is a large
drop-off after the big 3 shortstops are drafted. For the third straight year, his production has gone down in all
major offensive categories. Jeter will
give you a little of everything, but he won’t dazzle you in any other area
except for average and OBP.
5 Stephen Drew - ARI
Drew’s
offensive output took a gigantic leap forward in 2008. After hitting 12 long balls in 2007, he
blasted 21 HRs and hit .291 over 611 ABs.
He usually hit in the second spot (behind Chris Young and his .315 OBP),
so his RBI total settled at 67, only 7 more than the previous year. If Arizona can successfully slot Eric Byrnes
or Felipe Lopez as the leadoff hitter (or if Young improves), Drew can see his
RBI total jump up a bit.
6 Rafael Furcal - LAD
Furcal’s
2008 season was a lost effort. He
started off hot (.367, 3 HRs, 7 SBs in April), but a back injury caused him to
play in just 36 games. Furcal’s only full season where he hit above .300 was in
2006, and he’s cracked 40+ SBs twice in his 9-year career (40 in ’00 and 46 in
’05). A fully healthy Furcal is
intriguing, but considering his injury issues; owners should anticipate mild
results - .280, 10 HRs, 25 SBs.
7 Jhonny Peralta - CLE
Peralta
hit 20+ HRs in three of the last four years.
Last year, he played in 154 games, which led to career-high marks in
several categories (605 ABs, 167 hits, 104 runs, 89 RBI). He cut the strikeouts down to 126 from 146
in ‘07, but that’s still a relatively high mark. Peralta won’t return to the .292 AVE he had in 2005, owners
should expect the mediocre .260-.270 pace he’s recently displayed.
8 J.J. Hardy - MIL
Hardy’s
final line of .283-24-74 was productive, but he got off to a dismal start in
April and May (.254 AVE with 2 HRs). He
eventually heated up and hit .311 with 13 homeruns in June and July. Hardy finished with a career-high .478 SLG
and .343 OBP, although he saw his strikeout total spike from 73 to 98. Hardy is planted at the top of a powerful
Milwaukee lineup, but owners have to be willing to deal with his streak-slump
performance.
9 Michael Young - TEX
Young
will move to third base so the Rangers can make room for prospect Elvis Andrus. Last season, Young was hampered by a finger
injury that helped cause the dip in offensive output. He still managed to post 183 hits, but it broke a string of 5
seasons with 200+ hits. A healthy Young
can hit the double-digit HR mark, but repeating 20 homeruns is a long
shot.
10 Troy Tulowitzki - COL
Two
separate injuries caused Tulowitzki’s season to fizzle and disappoint fantasy
owners. His homerun ratio plummeted
from 25 ABs per HR to 47 and his average landed at .263. Just to top if off, he was caught stealing 6
times out of 7 attempts and his strikeout rate increased by 30%. Tulowitzki does hit in Colorado which gives
him an edge over other middle infielders so a healthy year should produce at
least 15 HRs.