1 Chase
Utley - PHI
Last year, we were all
concerned about Utley’s offseason hip surgery and how the perennial All Star
would recover. He quickly put to rest
any fears of a lingering injury and managed to land at a career-high 24 stolen
bases. On the negative side, his
average has decreased over the past three years, but it’s still plenty
respectable. Also, his RBI total
dropped below 100 for the first time since 2004, although Jimmy Rollins’ .298
OBP certainly didn’t help.
2 Ian Kinsler - TEX
Kinsler managed to stay
healthy for most of last season, but still had one DL stint. At least it’s progress. He had his best offensive season finishing
with 31 HRs and 31 SBs while knocking-in 86 RBI. He can certainly repeat those numbers and bring his average back
up, but his injury history has to subside.
If it does, you’re looking at 2011’s top fantasy second baseman.
3 Brandon Phillips - CIN
We all know about Phillips’
20-20 prowess and consistency, but he does come with some baggage. The career .265 average and .312 OBP are a
little unnerving, causing many owners to drop Phillips’ ranking below the
upper-tier. Don’t be scared-off by his
mediocre average; last year he made plenty of strides to improve. He struck out a career-low 75 times while
drawing 44 walks – a career-high. Toss
in the fact that he bats cleanup in a favorable ballpark, and you have a solid
draft pick with considerable upside.
4 Robinson Cano - NYY
Of course, Cano’s power
numbers were given a boost by the new Yankee Stadium, but he still managed to
hit 11 of his 25 HRs on the road. You
just have to be weary of a significant HR spike from a player who has averaged
15.5 HRs over the previous 4 seasons.
Regardless, 20 HRs and an average around .295-.305 seem perfectly
acceptable.
5 Dustin Pedroia – BOS
Pedroia’s value comes from
his ability to be well rounded in multiple categories. He’s not going to hit 30 HRs or steal 40
bases, but he does a little of everything and he does it well. His average should still be right around
.300 with 15 HRs, 75-80 RBI, and 15 SBs.
6 Aaron Hill - TOR
Aaron Hill is the perfect
example of why owners should take chances.
After a lost 2008 due to concussion symptoms, Hill returned in 2009 with
a breakout season. He blasted 36 HRs
and posted 108 RBI and 103 runs scored.
Owners can’t draft him expecting another 35 HR season, but they can feel
comfortable anticipating 25 homeruns.
7 Brian Roberts - BAL
There’s already news of
Roberts’ suffering back pain and he has yet to make his Spring Training
debut. Considering his stolen base
totals have steadily declined over the past 3 seasons, it may be difficult to
reverse that trend. Fortunately, the
rest of his stat lines have been solid – expect a .280-.290 AVE with 15 HR pop
and the ability to steal at least 25 bags.
8 Ben Zobrist - TB
Actually, Zobrist’s 27-HR
campaign shouldn’t have come as much of a surprise. As a utilityman in 2008, he averaged 1 homerun per 16.5 ABs and
managed 1HR/18.5 ABs once he received more playing time in ‘09. Also, the 17 SBs weren’t that fluky. He maintains an excellent OBP and stole 15
and 16 bases in his first two minor league seasons. He’s no longer a surprise and he’ll be a fine second baseman in
mixed leagues.
9 Dan Uggla - FLA
Considering his 30-HR
potential is nearly a lock, we were really hoping he could also bring his
average back to at least .260. He
didn’t come close - .243. That’s what
he is – a powerful bat at a thin position with a .250 average at best. Draft him with those expectations and
complement him with another high average player.
10 Howie Kendrick – LAA
Just when you’re ready write
a player off, they go and do something to impress you. Kendrick started the season miserably and
eventually found himself in AAA. The
demotion worked and he came back strong to raise his average from .231 to
.291. He certainly has the potential to
improve on his #10 draft ranking, but he could also be a big headache.