1 Jonathan Papelbon -
BOS
A
career-worst 24 walks last year is startling, but his pedigree deserves fantasy
respect. He’s never saved less than 35
games in his 4-year career and his K/9 ratio has always been above 9.0. Toss in a career 1.84 ERA with the possibility
to save 40+ games and you have the number one fantasy closer.
2 Mariano Rivera - NYY
Father
Time just keeps on ticking. Over the
past two years, he’s posted WHIP totals of 0.67 and 0.90 WHIP along with 1.40
ERA and 1.76 ERA. Some decrease in
velocity has been noted, so at age 40, there will always be some concern. But, a “ bad” season for Rivera has the
chance to be better than the other less-proven options. He still enters 2010 as one of the most
dominant closers in baseball.
3 Jonathan Broxton -
LAD
Last
year, Broxton was the only reliever to strikeout 100+ batters and save 30+
games (Rafael Soriano came close - 27 saves & 102 Ks). Granted, he's only had one year of
experience with 9th inning duties, but the gaudy 13.5 K/9 ratio and his
sub-1.00 WHIP make him among the elite fantasy closers.
4 Francisco Rodriguez -
NYM
Rodriguez’s
first season in New York didn’t exactly go as planned. It started off well, with Rodriguez locked
down 23 saves before the All Star Break.
But, he fell apart in the second half saving only 12 more games while
finishing at a career-worst 3.71 ERA.
He doesn't appear to be dominant anymore, but he still has value - just
don't draft him as high as he's gone in previous years.
5 Joakim Soria - KC
Soria
overcame an early DL stint to nail down 30 saves along with a 2.71 ERA and 1.12
WHIP. It's true that he plays for a
poor team and there's a little bit of injury concern, but he has presented
plenty of redeemable qualities over the past 2 seasons averaging 36 saves in
addition to a 10.1 K/9 ratio and a 0.98 WHIP.
Don't let the poor KC squad scare you; there will be plenty of
opportunities.
6 Heath Bell - SD
Bell's
first season as the Padres closer couldn't have gone any better. He totaled 42 saves, most in the NL, while
striking out 79 batters in 69 innings.
What’s the downside? He’s a
talented member of a poor team so he'll always be the subject of trade rumors. But, unless you're in a strict NL-only
league, there's not much reason to pass over him on draft day.
7 Brian Wilson - SF
Wilson
showed quite a bit of improvement last year lowering his ERA from 4.62 to 2.74
while shaving his WHIP from 1.44 to 1.20.
The Giants are apparently convinced, inking Wilson to a new 2-year deal
worth 15 million dollars. Wilson has a
lively 95+ mph fastball and tons of room in case he slips up, so feel confident
selecting him to anchor your bullpen.
8 Andrew Bailey - OAK
The
A's had their closer situation all figured out - at least they thought they
did. After Joey Devine went down for
the year at the beginning of the season Oakland seemed content to turn back to
2008 star Brad Ziegler. But, after
Ziegler struggled in May, Bailey got the nod and went on to save 26 games while
posting a 1.84 ERA and 0.88 WHIP.
Bailey has experienced some minor elbow problems this spring, but he
should remain a top 10 closer if he's fully healthy.
9 Carlos Marmol - CHC
He
definitely has the pitching repertoire to close, but does he have the
control? He sported an ugly 1.46 WHIP
last year mainly due to 65 walks in 74 innings, but managed to land at a
respectable 3.41 ERA and strikeout 93 batters.
He really doesn't appear to be Lou Piniella's favorite (he picked Kevin
Gregg for closer duties last year), but Sweet Lou doesn't have too much in the
way of alternatives. If Marmol can keep
the walk totals reasonable, he'll make the issue moot - but, that's one big
'if."
10 Billy Wagner - ATL
Wagner
missed most of 2009 after undergoing Tommy John surgery and even hinted at
possible retirement. The Mets traded
him to Boston and he proved there was plenty left in the tank. Wagner didn’t notch a single save, but he
struck out 26 batters in 17 games along with a 1.72 ERA and 1.02 WHIP. He can definitely be a valuable fantasy
asset as the unquestioned closer in Atlanta.
But, considering his age and injury history, NL-only owners may be wise
to acquire Takashi Saito as insurance.